SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 56.32%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 21.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Pumas |
56.32% ( -0.22) | 21.79% ( 0.08) | 21.89% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.11% ( -0.19) | 39.89% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% ( -0.2) | 62.25% ( 0.21) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% ( -0.13) | 14.04% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.39% ( -0.26) | 41.61% ( 0.27) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 0.02) | 31.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( 0.02) | 68.18% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Pumas |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 56.32% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 21.89% |
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