SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Pumas |
47.69% ( -1.07) | 23.98% ( 0.06) | 28.33% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( 0.42) | 43.86% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( 0.41) | 66.25% ( -0.4) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( -0.26) | 18.54% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.22% ( -0.45) | 49.78% ( 0.45) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.95) | 28.76% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( 1.16) | 64.6% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Pumas |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.33% |
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