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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
CL

Pumas
4 - 1
Club Leon

Ruvalcaba (11', 88'), Cervantes (26' og.), Martinez (80')
Lopez (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Alvarado (31')
Guerra (61'), Frias (74'), Bellon (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Pumas
Monday, May 13 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Club Leon
Sunday, April 28 at 12.06am in Liga MX

We said: Pumas 2-1 Club Leon

In what should certainly be a hard-fought encounter as both sides bid to make a winning start to the season, we see Pumas having slightly more quality throughout their squad than Club Leon, even with several absentees, and back them to come out on top with home advantage on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
PumasDrawClub Leon
44.15% (0.624 0.62) 24.8% (-0.16 -0.16) 31.05% (-0.461 -0.46)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.323 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.52200000000001 0.52)46.13% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.489 0.49)68.42% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.502 0.5)20.95% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.779 0.78)53.7% (-0.776 -0.78)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.04% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.058 -0.06)63.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 44.15%
    Club Leon 31.05%
    Draw 24.8%
PumasDrawClub Leon
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.15%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Pumas
Monday, May 13 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 0-2 Cruz Azul
Friday, May 10 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-0 Pumas (3-5 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 4.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Pumas
Saturday, April 27 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 2-1 America
Sunday, April 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Club Leon
Monday, April 15 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Club Leon
Sunday, April 28 at 12.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-0 Monterrey
Sunday, April 21 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Club Leon
Monday, April 15 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 0-2 Queretaro
Sunday, April 7 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Club Leon
Monday, April 1 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Puebla
Sunday, March 17 at 1am in Liga MX


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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