SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Tigre |
37.18% ( 0.7) | 29.64% ( 0.31) | 33.18% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.97% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.95% ( -1.07) | 64.05% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.78% ( -0.77) | 83.22% ( 0.77) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.91% ( -0.11) | 33.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.32% ( -0.12) | 69.68% ( 0.12) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% ( -1.29) | 35.78% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.45% ( -1.34) | 72.55% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.62% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.03% Total : 33.18% |
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