Sarmiento have history and momentum in their favour for this one, despite River Plate's impressive record on home soil in the current campaign. The visitors have also been decent on the road in the current campaign, which is why we think that this match will likely end with the spoils shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 78.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.44%) and 3-0 (12.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Sarmiento
78.38% ( 0.14)	15.11% ( -0.09)	6.5% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 36.49% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38% (

0.15)

45.61% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.06% (

0.15)

67.94% (

-0.15)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.35% (

0.07)

9.64% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.8% (

0.17)

32.19% (

-0.18)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.38% (

-0.07)

59.61% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.55% (

-0.03)

90.45% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

River Plate 78.36%

Sarmiento 6.51%

Draw 15.11%

River Plate	Draw	Sarmiento
2-0 @ 15.72% 1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 78.36%	1-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.11%	0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 6.51%