Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.13%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.
