SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Tigre |
35.02% ( -0.03) | 27.52% ( -0.04) | 37.46% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.54% ( 0.15) | 56.46% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.53% ( 0.12) | 77.46% ( -0.12) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( 0.05) | 30.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( 0.06) | 66.82% ( -0.07) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( 0.11) | 29.08% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( 0.14) | 65% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.45% |
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