Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.32%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
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