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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
1 - 1
Brann

Meister (90+1')
Johansen (10'), Orjasaeter (15'), Michelsen (38'), Wichne (77')
Michelsen (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Heggebo (90+4')
Myhre (80'), Pallesen Knudsen (85'), Heggebo (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarpsborg 4-1 Rosenborg
Friday, July 12 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 1-1 Haugesund
Saturday, July 13 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Sarpsborg 08 1-1 SK Brann

Brann will be desperate to return to winning ways to get their title bid back on track, but we think that they may have to settle for a point after failing to win either of their previous two competitive away matches against Sarpsborg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 55.66%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.81%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawSK Brann
24.19% (-0.459 -0.46) 20.14% (-0.044 -0.04) 55.66% (0.504 0.5)
Both teams to score 67.98% (-0.405 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.88% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)29.11% (0.293 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.88% (-0.358 -0.36)50.11% (0.357 0.36)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (-0.485 -0.48)23.86% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94% (-0.702 -0.7)58.06% (0.701 0.7)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (0.036999999999992 0.04)10.71% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.36% (0.080999999999989 0.08)34.64% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 24.19%
    SK Brann 55.66%
    Draw 20.14%
Sarpsborg 08DrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 5.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.66% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 24.19%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.56% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.33% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.14%
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.81% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.75% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 3.8% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.65% (0.061 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.19% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 55.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sarpsborg 4-1 Rosenborg
Friday, July 12 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Haugesund 1-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 7 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Kristiansund 3-1 Sarpsborg
Sunday, June 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-3 Stromsgodset
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 2-4 Sarpsborg
Monday, May 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 1-1 Haugesund
Saturday, July 13 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-1 Brann
Sunday, July 7 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 0-0 Stromsgodset
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 1-2 Brann
Saturday, June 1 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Kristiansund
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 1-3 Molde
Sunday, May 26 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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