SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 52.89%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Stromsgodset |
52.89% ( -0.26) | 22.15% ( 0.07) | 24.95% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 61.3% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.83% ( -0.15) | 38.17% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.56% ( -0.16) | 60.44% ( 0.16) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( -0.14) | 14.55% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.41% ( -0.27) | 42.59% ( 0.27) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( 0.07) | 28.26% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( 0.08) | 63.97% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Stromsgodset |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.89% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 24.95% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
