SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.99% ( 0.19) | 24.41% ( 0.11) | 41.59% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.39% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.66% ( -0.47) | 43.34% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.26% ( -0.46) | 65.74% ( 0.47) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( -0.11) | 24.87% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% ( -0.15) | 59.48% ( 0.16) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.33) | 20.95% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( -0.53) | 53.69% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.59% |
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