SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
19.31% ( -0.03) | 22.02% ( -0.02) | 58.67% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.53% ( 0.05) | 44.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( 0.05) | 66.85% ( -0.05) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.1% ( 0) | 36.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.31% ( 0) | 73.69% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( 0.04) | 14.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.86% ( 0.06) | 43.14% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.31% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.97% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 58.66% |
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