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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
E

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Estoril

 
FT

Basso (72'), Fernandes (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Casa Pia
Sunday, March 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Porto
Saturday, March 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia X-Y Estoril Praia

Casa Pia aim to end their winless streak against Estoril and will feel like this is the perfect time to do so. However, their poor home form leaves a lot of doubts on that. Meanwhile, Estoril have also dug deep in their last two matches, showing the steely side. We expect a close match, possibly a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawEstoril Praia
34.76% (-0.26 -0.26) 25.97% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 39.27% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.15% (-0.27399999999999 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (-0.333 -0.33)50.2% (0.335 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.84% (-0.295 -0.3)72.16% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)27.68% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.41 -0.41)63.23% (0.41099999999999 0.41)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)25.12% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (-0.067 -0.07)59.82% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 34.76%
    Estoril Praia 39.27%
    Draw 25.96%
Casa PiaDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.76%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.094 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 39.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Casa Pia
Sunday, March 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Benfica
Sunday, March 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-1 Casa Pia
Friday, March 8 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Porto
Saturday, March 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, March 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, March 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-3 Estoril
Sunday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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