Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
34.76% ( -0.26) | 25.97% ( 0.07) | 39.27% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.8% ( -0.33) | 50.2% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.84% ( -0.3) | 72.16% ( 0.3) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( -0.32) | 27.68% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.76% ( -0.41) | 63.23% ( 0.41) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.88% ( -0.05) | 25.12% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.18% ( -0.07) | 59.82% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.76% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.27% |
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