Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga |
18.19% ( -0.17) | 20.7% ( -0.05) | 61.1% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 56.15% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% ( -0.04) | 40.28% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.34% ( -0.04) | 62.66% ( 0.05) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.35% ( -0.21) | 35.65% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.58% ( -0.22) | 72.42% ( 0.22) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% ( 0.05) | 12.73% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.02% ( 0.1) | 38.97% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.19% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 61.1% |
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