SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
35.21% ( 0.15) | 25.69% ( 0.04) | 39.09% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% ( -0.18) | 48.9% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( -0.16) | 70.99% ( 0.17) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% | 62.07% ( -0) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.18) | 24.62% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( -0.25) | 59.12% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.09% |
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