SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Estoril Praia |
34.26% ( -1.14) | 25.02% ( -0.26) | 40.72% ( 1.4) |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% ( 0.99) | 46.08% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% ( 0.93) | 68.38% ( -0.93) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.2) | 26.01% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( -0.26) | 61.04% ( 0.26) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( 1.14) | 22.54% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.88% ( 1.67) | 56.12% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.72% |
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