SM
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Poland | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Scotland win it was 2-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scotland | Draw | Portugal |
13.7% ( 0.1) | 18.6% ( 0.05) | 67.7% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.59% ( -0) | 39.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.25% ( -0) | 61.74% ( 0.01) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.22% ( 0.15) | 40.77% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.64% ( 0.13) | 77.36% ( -0.13) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% ( -0.04) | 10.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.41% ( -0.09) | 34.59% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scotland | Draw | Portugal |
| 2-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 13.7% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.6% | 0-2 @ 10.89% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 8.12% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.33% Total : 67.7% |
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