Providing Roberto Martinez opts against more experimentation with tactics and personnel, Portugal should have too much firepower for a hard-working Slovenia side to handle.
Now that most Portuguese players have had a taste of the action, even a tightly-packed defence can be overcome by a series of fresh-legged substitutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw has a probability of 19.7% and a win for Slovenia has a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Slovenia win it is 0-1 (4.4%).