Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
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