SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
35.18% ( 0.06) | 26.06% ( 0.01) | 38.75% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( -0.03) | 50.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( -0.03) | 72.44% ( 0.02) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( 0.03) | 27.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( 0.03) | 63.1% ( -0.03) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.05) | 25.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( -0.07) | 60.4% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.75% |
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