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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
30.02% ( 0.24) | 26.04% ( -0.08) | 43.93% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( 0.44) | 51.84% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( 0.38) | 73.6% ( -0.38) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 0.4) | 31.63% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( 0.45) | 68.04% ( -0.46) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( 0.11) | 23.48% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( 0.16) | 57.5% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.02% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.93% |
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