SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Chorley |
36.71% ( 0.02) | 26.39% ( -0) | 36.9% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.93% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.17% ( 0.01) | 51.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.41% ( 0.01) | 73.58% ( -0.01) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( 0.02) | 27.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.26% ( 0.02) | 62.74% ( -0.02) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% | 27.19% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% ( -0) | 62.6% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.9% |
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