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National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium
C

Scunthorpe
3 - 0
Chorley

Whitehall (25' pen., 63'), Smith (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scunthorpe United and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 1-5 Scunthorpe
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-2 Buxton
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawChorley
56.74% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 19.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.024999999999999 0.02)49.24% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02)71.3% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (0.016999999999996 0.02)17.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.62% (0.030000000000001 0.03)47.38% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99%39.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.73% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 56.72%
    Chorley 19.92%
    Draw 23.34%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawChorley
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.34%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 19.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hereford 1-5 Scunthorpe
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Warrington Town
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Southport
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-1 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-2 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-2 Buxton
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Chorley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 8-0 Darlington
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North


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