SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Chorley |
56.74% ( 0.02) | 23.34% ( -0.01) | 19.92% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( 0.02) | 49.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( 0.02) | 71.3% ( -0.02) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( 0.02) | 17.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.62% ( 0.03) | 47.38% ( -0.03) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.99% | 39.01% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.27% ( 0) | 75.73% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.92% |
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