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National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park

Brackley Town
2 - 1
Boston

Lilley (11'), Roberts (15')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nicholson (45+2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Chorley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawBoston United
43.8%26.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 29.33% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.44% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.62% (0.021999999999998 0.02)55.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (0.018999999999998 0.02)76.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.11% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (0.016999999999996 0.02)33.98% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)70.66% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 43.79%
    Boston United 29.33%
    Draw 26.86%
Brackley TownDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.79%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 29.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 South Shields
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Chorley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-1 Rushall Olympic
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-2 Boston
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Boston
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Boston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North


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