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National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
SU

Hereford
1 - 5
Scunthorpe

Cowley (61')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Whitehall (11'), Kelly (16'), Butterfield (42', 45+3'), Roberts (88')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 3-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Warrington Town
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawScunthorpe United
42.25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 27.65% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 30.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 47.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04% (0.034999999999997 0.03)57.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.34% (0.028000000000002 0.03)78.65% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.018999999999991 0.02)27.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (0.027999999999999 0.03)62.47% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.5% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 42.25%
    Scunthorpe United 30.1%
    Draw 27.64%
Hereford UnitedDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 42.25%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 30.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hereford 3-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Hereford
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 4-1 Banbury
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Warrington Town
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Southport
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-1 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-2 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-1 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League North


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