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Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
RS

Seattle
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Rusnak (68')
Vargas (87'), Baker-Whiting (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gomez (90+10')
Oviedo (67'), Crooks (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Real Salt Lake

Seattle have drawn four times in the league when playing at home this season, the second most of any team in the MLS, and with Salt Lake drawing four times on the road this year, we expect this one to end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawReal Salt Lake
50.96% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 23.03% (0.023 0.02) 26.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (-0.111 -0.11)41.29% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)63.69% (0.109 0.11)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)16.33% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)45.91% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)29.12% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.067 -0.07)65.04% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 50.96%
    Real Salt Lake 26.01%
    Draw 23.03%
Seattle SoundersDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 50.96%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 26.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle
Thursday, May 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 5 at 11.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-3 Seattle
Wednesday, May 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 5-3 Colorado
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle
Thursday, May 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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