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Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
VW

Seattle
1 - 1
Vancouver

Morris (9')
Vargas (36'), Paulo (43'), Tolo (89')
Tolo (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gauld (90+5' pen.)
Sartini (37'), Laborda (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle
Thursday, May 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Vancouver
Thursday, May 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

Both sides are coming off difficult defeats in midweek, while neither have been consistent in the attacking third of late, which is why we project a tight match with a few chances but perhaps no one being able to break away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
50.29% (-0.103 -0.1) 24.38% (0.026 0.03) 25.33% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.12% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)47.85% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (-0.044 -0.04)70.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)19.05% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)50.64% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (0.035000000000011 0.04)33.15% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (0.039000000000001 0.04)69.75% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 50.29%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 25.33%
    Draw 24.38%
Seattle SoundersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle
Thursday, May 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 5 at 11.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-3 Seattle
Wednesday, May 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-2 Vancouver
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Vancouver
Thursday, May 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Vancouver
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Austin
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-2 Vancouver
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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