SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
47.75% ( -0.22) | 23.45% ( 0.03) | 28.79% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% ( -0.04) | 41.17% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( -0.04) | 63.56% ( 0.04) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( -0.1) | 17.47% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.05% ( -0.18) | 47.95% ( 0.17) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( 0.11) | 27.06% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( 0.14) | 62.43% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.79% |
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