Despite faring well on their travels last season, we think that the Seattle Sounders will come up short on Saturday against a Real Salt Lake side that usually perform well in home contests against their upcoming opponents.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
