SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Senegal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Burundi |
68.78% ( -0.24) | 18.83% ( 0.04) | 12.39% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.15% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( 0.33) | 43.67% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( 0.32) | 66.06% ( -0.33) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.39% ( 0.03) | 11.61% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.39% ( 0.06) | 36.61% ( -0.06) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.47% ( 0.55) | 45.53% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.65% ( 0.43) | 81.35% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Burundi |
| 2-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.49% Total : 68.77% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.83% | 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.39% |
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