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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
BF

Senegal
1 - 1
Burkina Faso

Mane (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bouda (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Senegal
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-2 Sierra Leone
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Senegal 2-0 Burkina Faso

Given Senegal's strong form and their depth of attacking options, combined with Burkina Faso's recent struggles and defensive vulnerabilities, a simple victory for Senegal is likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
SenegalDrawBurkina Faso
53.49% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05) 26.65% (-0.058 -0.06) 19.86% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 41.46% (0.273 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.76% (0.282 0.28)61.24% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.83% (0.21 0.21)81.17% (-0.209 -0.21)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.102 0.1)23.15% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.146 0.15)57.02% (-0.145 -0.14)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.94% (0.286 0.29)46.05% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.24% (0.219 0.22)81.76% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 53.48%
    Burkina Faso 19.86%
    Draw 26.65%
SenegalDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.59% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 11.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 53.48%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 19.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Senegal
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Congo DR
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Benin
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Gabon
Friday, March 22 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Ivory Coast (4-5 pen.)
Monday, January 29 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea 0-2 Senegal
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-2 Sierra Leone
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Burkina Faso
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-0 Niger
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-2 Libya
Friday, March 22 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 2-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 30 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Angola 2-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations


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