SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 27.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Senegal |
27.51% ( -0.04) | 28.19% ( 0.02) | 44.29% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.73% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.14% ( -0.07) | 60.86% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.11% ( -0.05) | 80.89% ( 0.05) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( -0.07) | 38.4% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.84% ( -0.06) | 75.15% ( 0.06) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.02) | 27.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( -0.02) | 62.84% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 27.51% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 13.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.23% 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 44.29% |
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