SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Senegal |
17.68% ( 0.2) | 24.85% ( 0.19) | 57.47% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 42.72% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.27% ( -0.38) | 57.73% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.52% ( -0.3) | 78.47% ( 0.3) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.44% ( 0.03) | 46.56% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.85% ( 0.02) | 82.15% ( -0.03) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( -0.3) | 20.05% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.72% ( -0.49) | 52.27% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malawi | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 17.68% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 15% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 12.05% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 57.47% |
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