Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Burundi win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Malawi | Draw | Burundi |
41.13% (![]() | 26.56% (![]() | 32.32% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.89% (![]() | 53.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.31% (![]() | 74.69% (![]() |
Malawi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% (![]() | 25.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.72% (![]() | 60.28% (![]() |
Burundi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% (![]() | 30.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% (![]() | 66.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Malawi | Draw | Burundi |
1-0 @ 10.68% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.12% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 9.23% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.32% |
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