SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Denmark | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Serbia win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Spain |
22.16% ( -0.05) | 21.97% ( -0.01) | 55.86% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.58% ( -0.02) | 40.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.2% ( -0.02) | 62.8% ( 0.02) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.06) | 31.8% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( -0.07) | 68.24% ( 0.06) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( 0.01) | 14.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.76% ( 0.02) | 42.24% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Serbia | Draw | Spain |
| 2-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( -0)2-0 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.16% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.86% |
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