SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | FC Winterthur |
58.85% ( -0.35) | 21.81% ( 0.06) | 19.34% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.5% ( 0.19) | 43.5% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.1% ( 0.19) | 65.9% ( -0.19) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( -0.05) | 14.45% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.6% ( -0.09) | 42.4% ( 0.09) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% ( 0.42) | 36.31% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( 0.43) | 73.1% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 58.84% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.34% |
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