SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | FC Winterthur |
50.5% ( -0.17) | 23.29% ( 0.06) | 26.21% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% ( -0.18) | 42.3% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( -0.18) | 64.71% ( 0.18) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( -0.13) | 16.87% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.11% ( -0.23) | 46.89% ( 0.23) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -0.01) | 29.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( -0.01) | 65.51% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.5% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 26.22% |
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