SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Basel had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Servette |
33.79% ( 0.3) | 24.84% ( 0.05) | 41.37% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.64% ( -0.16) | 45.36% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.3% ( -0.16) | 67.7% ( 0.15) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( 0.1) | 25.95% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.05% ( 0.14) | 60.96% ( -0.14) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( -0.24) | 21.92% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% ( -0.36) | 55.18% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.79% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.37% |
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