Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
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