Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
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