SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 68.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | FC Winterthur |
68.2% ( 0.08) | 18.36% ( -0.04) | 13.44% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( 0.05) | 38.91% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.77% ( 0.05) | 61.22% ( -0.06) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.57% ( 0.03) | 10.42% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66% ( 0.08) | 33.99% ( -0.08) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.15% ( -0.04) | 40.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.58% ( -0.03) | 77.41% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)Other @ 4.49% Total : 68.2% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.36% | 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 13.44% |
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