SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
39.95% ( -0.4) | 24.49% ( -0.03) | 35.55% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 59.45% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.59% ( 0.19) | 43.41% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% ( 0.19) | 65.81% ( -0.19) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0.11) | 21.75% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.07% ( -0.17) | 54.93% ( 0.17) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( 0.32) | 24.03% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( 0.46) | 58.29% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 39.95% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 35.55% |
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