Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Servette had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Winterthur | Draw | Servette |
38.33% ( -0.04) | 24.74% ( 0.04) | 36.93% |
Both teams to score 58.7% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.55% ( -0.18) | 44.45% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.18% ( -0.18) | 66.82% ( 0.19) |
FC Winterthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% ( -0.1) | 23.02% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.17% ( -0.15) | 56.83% ( 0.16) |
Servette Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( -0.08) | 23.76% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.1% ( -0.12) | 57.9% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
FC Winterthur | Draw | Servette |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.93% |
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