SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | St Gallen |
49.63% ( 0.01) | 23.5% ( -0) | 26.88% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.5% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( 0.02) | 42.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( 0.02) | 65.13% ( -0.02) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( 0.01) | 17.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.26% ( 0.02) | 47.74% ( -0.01) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( 0.01) | 29.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.83% ( 0.01) | 65.17% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.63% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.34% Total : 26.88% |
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