SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | St Gallen |
44.64% ( -0.1) | 23.56% ( 0.15) | 31.8% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.94% ( -0.72) | 40.05% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( -0.75) | 62.42% ( 0.76) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.33) | 18.27% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( -0.56) | 49.32% ( 0.57) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.38) | 24.59% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.91% ( -0.53) | 59.09% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.65% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.8% |
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