SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Servette had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Servette |
46.53% ( -0.17) | 22.98% ( 0.04) | 30.49% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.1% ( -0.11) | 37.9% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.85% ( -0.12) | 60.16% ( 0.12) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( -0.1) | 16.68% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.45% ( -0.19) | 46.55% ( 0.19) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( 0.03) | 24.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( 0.04) | 58.72% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.36% Total : 46.53% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.49% |
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