Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Servette had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
Result | ||
St Gallen | Draw | Servette |
51.95% ( 0.3) | 22.17% ( -0.52) | 25.88% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 62.24% ( 2.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.63% ( 2.66) | 37.37% ( -2.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.41% ( 2.81) | 59.59% ( -2.81) |
St Gallen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.42% ( 1.05) | 14.58% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.35% ( 1.98) | 42.65% ( -1.98) |
Servette Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.86% ( 1.58) | 27.14% ( -1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.47% ( 2.01) | 62.53% ( -2.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Gallen | Draw | Servette |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.71) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.2) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.11) Other @ 4.28% Total : 51.95% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.53) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.97% Total : 25.88% |
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