SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | St Gallen |
42.8% ( -0.58) | 23.93% ( 0.25) | 33.27% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -1.1) | 41.27% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.34% ( -1.12) | 63.66% ( 1.13) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( -0.7) | 19.54% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.57% ( -1.15) | 51.43% ( 1.15) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.33) | 24.31% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( -0.47) | 58.69% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.19% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.27% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
