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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
Arena L'viv

Shakhtar
1 - 1
Rukh Lviv

Matviyenko (23')
Sudakov (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Didyk (90+1')
Didyk (18'), Krasnopir (30'), Slyubyk (45+1')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Rukh Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 1-0 Livyi Bereh
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 79.3%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 6.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRukh Lviv
79.3% (1.127 1.13) 13.76% (-0.723 -0.72) 6.94% (-0.401 -0.4)
Both teams to score 43.69% (0.598 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.66% (1.97 1.97)37.34% (-1.968 -1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.44% (2.091 2.09)59.56% (-2.089 -2.09)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.52% (0.69200000000001 0.69)7.49% (-0.69 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.11% (1.761 1.76)26.89% (-1.758 -1.76)
Rukh Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.23% (0.297 0.3)52.78% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.5% (0.189 0.19)86.51% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 79.29%
    Rukh Lviv 6.94%
    Draw 13.76%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRukh Lviv
2-0 @ 13.27% (-0.33 -0.33)
3-0 @ 11.46% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 7.43% (0.324 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 4.75% (0.247 0.25)
5-0 @ 3.85% (0.294 0.29)
5-1 @ 2.46% (0.207 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.063 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.66% (0.179 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.092 0.09)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 79.29%
1-1 @ 6.55% (-0.338 -0.34)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.388 -0.39)
2-2 @ 2.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 13.76%
0-1 @ 2.53% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 2.09% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 6.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: PSV 3-2 Shakhtar
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shakhtar 6-0 Inhulets
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 3-1 Luhansk
Sunday, November 10 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-1 Young Boys
Wednesday, November 6 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-1 Chornomorets
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Shakhtar
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 1-0 Livyi Bereh
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Veres 2-0 Rukh Lviv
Sunday, November 10 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-1 Rukh Lviv
Monday, November 4 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 1-1 Chornomorets
Friday, October 25 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 0-1 Karpaty
Monday, October 21 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-1 Rukh Lviv
Saturday, October 5 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League


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