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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 19, 2023 at 1pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Shakhtar
2 - 0
Rukh Lviv

Matviyenko (27'), Kryskiv (31')
Kelsy (35'), Rakitskiy (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Edson (13')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Rukh Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rukh Lviv 0-1 Kovalivka
Sunday, March 12 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRukh Lviv
56.91% (0.599 0.6) 22.49% (-0.309 -0.31) 20.6% (-0.284 -0.28)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.585 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.986 0.99)44.75% (-0.982 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.945 0.94)67.11% (-0.938 -0.94)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.54899999999999 0.55)15.5% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (1.009 1.01)44.4% (-1.002 -1)
Rukh Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (0.279 0.28)35.73% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5% (0.286 0.29)72.5% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 56.91%
    Rukh Lviv 20.6%
    Draw 22.48%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawRukh Lviv
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.98% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.061 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 56.91%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.6%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Feyenoord 7-1 Shakhtar
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 0-3 Shakhtar
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-1 Feyenoord
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 0-7 Shakhtar
Sunday, March 5 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Minai 1-4 Shakhtar
Tuesday, February 28 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Shakhtar (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 0-1 Kovalivka
Sunday, March 12 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Metal Kharkiv 1-2 Rukh Lviv
Sunday, March 5 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 2-2 Chornomorets
Wednesday, December 7 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-1 Rukh Lviv
Monday, November 28 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 1-1 Minai
Monday, November 14 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Lviv 2-1 Rukh Lviv
Thursday, November 10 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League


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